Annabelle Liang
Business reporter
Reporting fromSingapore
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To time off aliases not to leave? China, location to much than a cardinal consumers, is Apple's second-largest marketplace
Every iPhone comes pinch a explanation which tells you it was designed successful California.
While nan sleek rectangle that runs galore of our lives is so designed successful nan United States, it is apt to person travel to life thousands of miles distant successful China: nan state deed hardest by US President Donald Trump's tariffs, now rising to 245% connected immoderate Chinese imports.
Apple sells much than 220 cardinal iPhones a twelvemonth and by astir estimates, 9 successful 10 are made successful China. From nan glossy screens to nan artillery packs, it's present that galore of nan components successful an Apple merchandise are made, originated and assembled into iPhones, iPads aliases Macbooks. Most are shipped to nan US, Apple's largest market.
Luckily for nan firm, Trump abruptly exempted smartphones, computers and immoderate different physics devices from his tariffs past week.
But nan comfortableness is short-lived.
The president has since suggested that much tariffs are coming: "NOBODY is getting 'off nan hook'," he wrote connected Truth Social, arsenic his management investigated "semiconductors and nan WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN".
The world proviso concatenation that Apple has touted arsenic a spot is now a vulnerability.
The US and China, nan world's 2 biggest economies, are interdependent and Trump's staggering tariffs person upended that narration overnight, starring to an inevitable question: who is nan much limited of nan two?
How a lifeline became a threat
China has hugely benefited from hosting assembly lines for 1 of nan world's astir valuable companies. It was a calling paper to nan West for value manufacturing and has helped spur section innovation.
Apple entered China successful nan 1990s to waste computers done third-party suppliers.
Around 1997, erstwhile it was connected nan verge of bankruptcy arsenic it struggled to compete pinch rivals, Apple recovered a lifeline successful China. A young Chinese system was opening up to overseas companies to boost manufacturing and create much jobs.
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Apple's first shop successful China opened connected 19 July 2008, successful Beijing successful nan Sanlitun intermezo district
It wasn't until 2001 though that Apple officially arrived successful China, done a Shanghai-based trading company, and started making products successful nan country. It collaborated pinch Foxconn, a Taiwanese physics shaper operating successful China, to make iPods, past iMacs and subsequently iPhones.
As Beijing began trading pinch nan world - encouraged by nan US nary little - Apple grew its footprint successful what was becoming nan world's factory.
Back then, China was not primed to make nan iPhone. But Apple chose its ain harvest of suppliers and helped them turn into "manufacturing superstars," according to proviso concatenation master Lin Xueping.
He cites nan illustration of Beijing Jingdiao, now a starring shaper of high-speed precision machinery, which is utilized to make precocious components efficiently. The company, which utilized to trim acrylic, was not considered a instrumentality tool-maker - but it yet developed machinery to trim solid and became "the prima of Apple's mobile telephone aboveground processing," Mr Lin says.
Apple opened its first shop successful nan state successful Beijing successful 2008, nan twelvemonth nan metropolis hosted nan Olympics and China's narration pinch nan West was astatine an all-time high. This soon snowballed to 50 stores, pinch customers queuing retired of nan door.
As Apple's profit margins grew, truthful did its assembly lines successful China, pinch Foxconn operating nan world's largest iPhone mill successful Zhengzhou, which has since been termed "iPhone City".
For a fast-growing China, Apple became a awesome of precocious Western tech - elemental yet original and slick.
Today, astir of Apple's prized iPhones are manufactured by Foxconn. The precocious chips that powerfulness them are made successful Taiwan, by nan world's largest spot manufacturer, TSMC. The manufacturing besides requires uncommon world elements which are utilized successful audio applications and cameras.
Some 150 of Apple's apical 187 suppliers successful 2024 had factories successful China, according to an study by Nikkei Asia.
"There's nary proviso concatenation successful nan world that's much captious to america than China," Apple's main executive Tim Cook said successful an question and reply past year.
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Happier days: Apple's main executive Tim Cook has visited China and met President Xi Jinping respective times
The tariff threat - imagination aliases ambition?
In Trump's first term, Apple secured exemptions connected nan tariffs he imposed connected China.
But this time, nan Trump management has made an illustration of Apple earlier it reversed tariffs connected immoderate electronics. It believes nan threat of steep taxes will promote businesses to make products successful America instead.
"The service of millions and millions of quality beings screwing successful small screws to make iPhones - that benignant of point is going to travel to America," Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said successful an question and reply earlier this month.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt reiterated that past week: "President Trump has made it clear America cannot trust connected China to manufacture captious technologies specified arsenic semiconductors, chips, smartphones and laptops."
She added: "At nan guidance of nan president, these companies are hustling to onshore their manufacturing successful nan United States arsenic soon arsenic possible."
But galore are sceptical of that.
The thought that Apple could move its assembly cognition to nan US is "pure fantasy," according to Eli Friedman, who formerly sat connected nan firm's world advisory board.
He says nan institution has been talking astir diversifying its proviso concatenation distant from China since 2013, erstwhile he joined nan committee - but nan US was ne'er an option.
Mr Friedman adds that Apple didn't make overmuch advancement complete nan adjacent decade but "really made an effort" aft nan pandemic, erstwhile China's tightly controlled Covid lockdowns wounded manufacturing output.
"The astir important caller locations for assembly person been Vietnam and India. But of people nan mostly of Apple assembly still takes spot [in China]."
Apple did not respond to nan BBC's questions but its website says its proviso chain spans "thousands of businesses and much than 50 countries".
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China's unrivalled proviso concatenation is simply a awesome tie for overseas manufacturers for illustration Foxconn
Challenges ahead
Any alteration to Apple's existent proviso concatenation position quo would beryllium a immense rustle for China, which is trying to kickstart maturation post-pandemic.
Many of nan reasons that nan state wanted to beryllium a manufacturing hub for Western companies successful nan early 2000s ringing existent coming - it creates hundreds of thousands of jobs, and gives nan state a important separator successful world trade.
"Apple sits astatine nan intersection of US-China tensions, and tariffs item nan costs of that exposure," says Jigar Dixit, a proviso concatenation and operations consultant.
It mightiness explicate why China has not bowed to Trump's threats, retaliating alternatively pinch 125% levies connected US imports. China has besides imposed export controls connected a scope of captious uncommon world minerals and magnets it has successful stores, dealing a rustle to nan US.
There is nary uncertainty nan US tariffs still being levied connected different Chinese sectors will hurt, though.
And it's not conscionable Beijing facing higher tariffs - Trump has made it clear he will target countries that are portion of nan Chinese proviso chain. For lawsuit Vietnam, wherever Apple has moved AirPods production, was facing 46% tariffs earlier Trump deed region for 90 days, truthful moving accumulation elsewhere successful Asia is not an easy measurement out.
"All conceivable places for nan immense Foxconn assembly sites pinch tens aliases hundreds of thousands of workers are successful Asia, and each of these countries are facing higher tariffs," Mr Friedman says.
So what does Apple do now?
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First time of in-store income astatine Apple's shop successful Guangzhou successful September 2024
The institution is fighting disconnected stiff title from Chinese firms arsenic nan authorities pushes for precocious tech manufacturing successful a title pinch nan US.
Now that "Apple has cultivated China's physics manufacturing capabilities, Huawei, Xiaomi, Oppo and others tin reuse Apple's mature proviso chain," according to Mr Lin.
Last year, Apple mislaid its spot arsenic China's biggest smartphone seller to Huawei and Vivo. Chinese group are not spending capable because of a sluggish system and pinch ChatGPT banned successful China, Apple is besides struggling to clasp an separator among buyers seeking AI-powered phones. It moreover offered uncommon discounts connected iPhones successful January to boost sales.
And while operating nether President Xi Jinping's progressively adjacent grip, Apple has had to limit nan usage of Bluetooth and Airdrop connected its devices arsenic nan Chinese Communist Party sought to censor governmental messages that group were sharing. It weathered a crackdown connected nan tech manufacture that moreover touched Alibaba laminitis and multi-billionaire Jack Ma.
Apple has announced a $500bn (£378bn) finance successful nan US, though that whitethorn not beryllium capable to appease nan Trump management for long.
Given nan respective U-turns and nan uncertainty astir Trump's tariffs, much astonishment levies are expected - which could again time off nan institution pinch small manoeuvring room and moreover little time.
Mr Dixit says smartphone tariffs will not cripple Apple should they rear their caput again, but sloppy will adhd "pressure - some operationally and politically" to a proviso concatenation that cannot beryllium unwound quickly.
"Clearly nan severity of nan contiguous situation has been lessened," Mr Friedman adds, referring to past week's exemption for smartphones.
"But I really don't deliberation this intends Apple tin relax."
Additional reporting by Fan Wang