Dems' Poll Numbers Are In The Toilet, But Veteran Strategist James Carville Says 'we're Winning Elections'

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Despite a flurry of polling truthful acold this twelvemonth indicating nan Democratic Party's favorability sinking to grounds lows, seasoned Democrat strategist and pundit James Carville remains optimistic, arsenic he points to caller ballot container victories by his party.

"You can't discount group winning elections," Carville told Fox News Digital connected Thursday.

Carville said nan time aft a caller study from nan Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research was nan latest to spell problem for nan Democratic Party, six months aft they suffered setbacks up and down nan ballot astatine nan hands of now-President Donald Trump and Republicans.

The Democratic Party has been successful nan governmental wilderness since past November's elections, erstwhile Republicans won backmost power of nan White House and nan Senate and defended their vulnerable House majority. And Republicans made gains among Black and Hispanic voters arsenic good arsenic younger voters, each accepted members of nan Democratic Party's base.

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Then-Vice President Kamala Harris delivers her statesmanlike information acceptance reside astatine nan Democratic National Convention connected Aug. 22, 2024, successful Chicago. The latest nationalist sentiment polls bespeak nan Democratic Party sinking to caller favorability lows. (Fox News - Paul Steinhauser)

Then-Vice President Kamala Harris delivers her statesmanlike information acceptance reside astatine nan Democratic National Convention connected Aug. 22, 2024, successful Chicago. The latest nationalist sentiment polls bespeak nan Democratic Party sinking to caller favorability lows. (Fox News - Paul Steinhauser) (Fox News - Paul Steinhauser)

According to nan survey, only astir one-third of Democrats are very aliases somewhat optimistic astir nan early of nan Democratic Party. That's a steep diminution from past July, erstwhile astir six successful 10 Democrats said they were optimistic. The survey, conducted May 1-5, points to an summation successful optimism among Republicans, pinch 55% much optimistic astir nan early of nan GOP, up from 47% past summer.

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Since Trump's return to powerfulness earlier this year, an progressively energized guidelines of Democrats is urging statement leaders to return a stronger guidelines successful pushing backmost against nan president's sweeping and arguable schedule during nan opening months of his 2nd administration. And their anger is directed not only astatine Republicans, but besides astatine Democrats they consciousness aren't vocal capable successful their guidance to Trump.

And that's fueled nan plunge successful nan Democratic Party's favorable ratings, which person deed historical lows successful respective caller surveys.

The Democrats' ratings stood underwater successful nan astir caller Fox News nationalist canvass astatine 41% favorable and 56% unfavorable successful a study conducted April 18-21.

That's an all-time debased for nan Democrats successful Fox News polling. And for nan first clip successful a decade, nan party's opinionated was little than that of nan GOP, which stood astatine 44% favorable and 54% unfavorable.

The figures were reversed past summer, erstwhile Fox News past asked nan statement favorability mobility successful 1 of its surveys.

The Democratic Party's favorable ratings were good successful antagonistic territory successful a Pew Research nationalist study – 38% favorable, 60% unfavorable – conducted successful early April and astatine 36% favorable, 60% unfavorable successful a Wall Street Journal canvass successful nan section a mates of weeks earlier.

And nationalist polls conducted successful February by Quinnipiac University and successful March by CNN and by NBC News besides indicated nan favorable ratings for nan Democratic Party sinking to all-time lows.

Confidence successful nan Democratic Party's legislature activity sunk to an all-time low, according to a Gallup canvass conducted early past month.

The assurance standing for Democrats' activity successful Congress stood astatine 25% successful nan survey, which was 9 points beneath nan erstwhile debased of 34% recorded successful 2023.

And nan semi-annual Harvard Youth Poll, which was released precocious past month, indicated that support ratings for Democrats successful Congress among Americans aged 18-29 nosedived.

"I don’t uncertainty immoderate of that’s true," Carville told Fox News. "But there’s 1 thing: We’re winning elections near and correct arsenic we’re talking astir really nan Democratic number aliases image is low."

John Ewing, Omaha mayoral candidate

John Ewing, nan Democrat-aligned mayoral campaigner successful Omaha, Nebraska, seen present shaking hands pinch voters connected May 8, 2025, this week defeated nan Republican-aligned longtime mayor, to go nan city's first Black mayor.  (Megan Nielsen/Omaha World-Herald via AP)

John Ewing, Jr., a Democrat, this week ousted a longtime Republican politician successful Omaha, Nebraska, a bluish dot successful a reliably reddish state. Ewing will go Omaha's first Black mayor.

Last month, nan Democrat-aligned campaigner comfortably defeated nan Republican-aligned campaigner successful a Wisconsin authorities Supreme Court election. The high-profile and costly run grabbed plentifulness of nationalist attraction and extracurricular money.

Democrats person besides performed very good truthful acold this twelvemonth successful special elections, including flipping reddish authorities Senate seats successful Iowa and Pennsylvania.

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In summation to looking back, Carville besides pointed up to November's gubernatorial predetermination successful Virginia, wherever Democrats dream to triumph backmost nan governor's agency successful Richmond.

"Let's spot what's going to hap successful Virginia," said Carville, who first grabbed nationalist attraction for his activity arsenic a lead strategist connected erstwhile President Bill Clinton's successful 1992 statesmanlike campaign.

And Carville predicted that "we’re going to triumph that."

Paul Steinhauser is simply a authorities newsman based successful nan plaything authorities of New Hampshire. He covers nan run way from seashore to coast."

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